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Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Ecuador wants a base in Miami, and the students are protesting in Venezuela

Now that Hugo got his man in Ecuador, and keeping in mind that Venezuela is a major point of transit for drugs smuggled from South America to the United States and Europe, Correa's coming through:

Ecuador wants military base in Miami
Ecuador's leftist President Rafael Correa said Washington must let him open a military base in Miami if the United States wants to keep using an air base on Ecuador's Pacific coast.

Correa has refused to renew Washington's lease on the Manta air base, set to expire in 2009. U.S. officials say it is vital for counter-narcotics surveillance operations on Pacific drug-running routes.

"We'll renew the base on one condition: that they let us put a base in Miami -- an Ecuadorean base," Correa said in an interview during a trip to Italy.
Interesting how he's saying it in Italy, isn't it?
The U.S. embassy to Ecuador says on its Web site that anti-narcotics flights from Manta gathered information behind more than 60 percent of illegal drug seizures on the high seas of the Eastern Pacific last year.

It offers a fact-sheet on the base at: http://ecuador.usembassy.gov/topics_of_interest/manta-fol.html
Correa's learned his soundbites from Hugo:
Correa, a popular leftist economist, had promised to cut off his arm before extending the lease that ends in 2009 and has called U.S. President George W. Bush a "dimwit".

But Correa, an ally of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, told Reuters he believed relations with the United States were "excellent" despite the base closing.
You would think that by now Chavez and Correa could have paid someone to write them a new script.

Meanwhile in Caracas, the police continue to use force against protestors:

Venezuela protest turns violent
Thousands of students have clashed with police in the Venezuelan capital, Caracas, during a protest against proposed constitutional changes.

Police fired tear gas at students angry at plans to let President Hugo Chavez stand for indefinite re-election as bottles and stones were thrown.
...
Among the students' concerns about the erosion of civil liberties is the fear that the authorities will be allowed to detain citizens without charge during a state of emergency.

Mr Chavez has dismissed criticism of the constitutional changes saying they are needed to accelerate Venezuela's transition to socialism.
It was Another shameful day in Venezuela's democracy
To make matters even worse, the pro-Chavez groups blocking the way included a couple of Deputies of the National Assembly, demonstrating that democracy is not alive and well in Venezuela. As the representatives of the students went into the Capitol building, only the pro-Chavez media was allowed in and even more remarkably a group of pro-Chavez "students" who had nothing to do with the march were also allowed in. Deputy Calixto Ortega won the day in terms of shame, when he said he did not understand why these students required "special" treatment, since the reform has been discussed extensively (!!!) and the students were getting "too much coverage" from the press. I guess the right to express yourself has now become a "special right" in Venezuela.
Venezuela News and Views posts:
The news today was the first dissident student march against the ill-called constitutional reform of Chavez. For a first effort it was impressive, and if chavismo thought that they had it made, they must be pondering new strategies tonight. The fact of the day is that the blockade put to the march by chavismo, comprised of Metropolitan Police and the usual red-shirted hordes failed: the students broke through and had to be received by the National Assembly.

Before relating the details of the day it is important to delve on this point: the students threw away their fears, and confronted chavismo in the streets. But also it is important to note that the chavista hordes were less numerous than usual and certainly not numerous enough that even as they were protected by the police, they could not block the passage to the student march. I do not know which is the most important fact, that chavismo is losing its touch or that the opposition is waking up bravely.
...
At any rate, the day is very important for two things:

1) visibly the opposition to the constitutional change is much bigger and determined than what anyone was thinking, including chavismo.

2) the way promises were broken, the way the army and the police acted, illustrate clearly that we are already under a repressive regime and that the objective of the constitutional changes are simply to make legal all that is already taking place.
Here's the Univision report (in Spanish):


The transition to communism is going to roll right along as Chavez consolidates power. That will continue for as long as oil revenuew hold
Venezuela's finances may quickly collapse if international oil prices stabilize, as revenues of state-owned PDVSA are falling while its costs are on the rise, according to the head of Harvard's Center for International Development.

"You don't need to wait for lower oil prices to see Venezuela crash. A stable oil price will do it, you just have to work yourself for 12 months," professor Ricardo Hausmann told Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of a seminar organized by Deutsche Bank.

Hausmann, who served as planning minister for Venezuela between 1992 and 1993, argued that while PDVSA's oil production declines, internal oil consumption is increasing rapidly.

But gasoline prices in Venezuela are subsidized by the government of President Hugo Chavez, who allows Venezuelans to fill up the tank of their cars for less than $2. Moreover, the Venezuelan currency is fixed at an official rate of 2,150 to the dollar, well below the parallel market level of 5,800 per greenback.

"So if you are substituting exports for domestic sales, that has a huge impact on PDVSA," the professor said, adding that the production costs of the Venezuelan oil industry is also rising fast.

Early this month, Venezuelans formed long lines to buy gasoline in a major provincial city after outages at a refinery prompted rare worries of supply shortages in the country.
The concert was cancelled, too.

Update: A Colombo-americana's perspective has the timetable.

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10 Comments:

At 8:54 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

AMAZING HOW YOU FOCUS SO MUCH ATTENTION ON LEADERS WHO ARE DOING THEIR BEST TO HELP THE MAJORITY OF THEIR PEOPLE, NOT JUST THE FEW ELITES AT THE TOP, WHICH HAS BEEN THE TROUBLE WITH THE LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES FOR DECADES UNDER PUPPET GOVERMENTS OF THE U.S. WHY DON'T YOU WRITE A PIECE ABOUT THE MONGREL COWARDS IN WASHINGTON WHO ARE ERODING CIVIL LIBERTIES HERE? OH, SORRY, I GUESS YOU PROBABLY HOLD LOTS OF STOCK IN EXXONMOBIL AND CHEVRONTEXACO, SO YOU WOULD NEVER DO THAT, HUH? AND IT IS ONLY A MINORITY PROTESTING IN VENEZUELA, MOSTLY RICH WHITE KIDS WHO SHOULD GO BACK TO SPAIN IF THEY DON'T LIKE CHAVEZ. AND, REGARDLESS OF WHAT KIND OF PROPAGANDA YOU SPEW, THE MAJORITY OF ECUADOREANS LOVE CORREA, INCLUDING MY WIFE AND I. IF AMERICA HAS A DRUG PROBLEM, LET AMERICA DEAL WITH IT ON AMERICAN SOIL. WHO CARES ABOUT THE CARTELS IN COLOMBIA? THEY ARE NO DIFFERENT THAN THE TOBACCO COMPANIES OR THE LIQUOR MANUFACTURERS. AND, LIKE CORREA SAID, IF IT ISN'T A PROBLEM HAVING FOREIGN SOLDIERS ON YOUR SOIL, THAN LET ECUADOR HAVE A BASE IN MIAMI. THERE IS NO DIFFERENCE.

 
At 10:17 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excellent update, thanks for keeping us posted. I linked to your post.

 
At 11:20 AM, Blogger Kate said...

Anonymous,

Your assumptions are not only sophomoric but also gross oversimplifications. The argument presented is merely a deflection of the post: you present a typical, generalized opinion, and then are quick to blame Washington. Given what you say in the rest of your comment, I am hardly surprised.

Helping the majority of their people? Well, I suppose that would depend on your definition of "the people," Anonymous. (Your comment suggests that yours is quite similar to Chávez's.) Call me crazy, but shutting down opposition media, giving government handouts and highly subsidized food in the mercales (even though staples of the Venezuelan diet are nowhere to be found), giving massive subsidies to foreign nations before helping his own people, capriciously adding reforms to the constitution without the consultation of the Venezuelan people (six more were added yesterday for a grand total of 68, 20% of the constitution), marginalizing and denying access to cell phone contracts/business contracts/bank accounts based on the way one voted in the recall referendum of 2004 (Tascón List and Maisanta database), among others, certainly don't sound like ways to help the "majority of [their] people."

You assert that it's only the rich white minority protesting in Caracas; perhaps you should look at the photos taken from yesterday's march. While the UCAB --a private Catholic university-- is generally highlighted as the main participating institution, primarily because of Yon Goicochea's role, it would be irresponsible to put from view the great importance of major public universities both in Caracas and throughout the country, most notably Universidad Simón Bolívar and Universidad Central de Venezuela, which from the latter the march to the Asamblea Nacional originated yesterday.

Who cares about the cartels in Colombia? Let me tell you one thing, Anonymous, this Colombian-American indeed is quite concerned about the role of the cartels, as they have affected all sectors from all the departments of Colombian society.

Before you start running your mouth again, I would highly recommend you pick up a source of information other than the ABN.

 
At 2:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

OK KATE, YOU KNOW EVERYTHING THEN...
i GO TO SOUTH AMERICA ALL THE TIME, MY WIFE IS FROM THERE, AND WE ARE MOVING BACK TO ECUADOR IN THE NEAR FUTURE. i SEE FIRST-HAND THE REACTION OF THE PEOPLE TO THE THINGS THEIR LEADERS ARE DOING. CORREA WON ALMOST 70% OF THE SEATS IN THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY, SO, YES, THE MAJORITY OF THE PEOPLE APPROVE OF WHAT HE IS DOING. 62% OF PEOPLE VOTED (AGAIN) FOR CHAVEZ IN THE LAST ELECETION, SO, YES, THE MAJORITY OF PEOPLE SUPPORT WHAT HE IS DOING. tHE RICH ARE PRIMARILY THE ONES WHO CAN AFFORD TO SEND THEIR KIDS TO COLLEGE, SO YES, THEY ARE THE ONES PRIMARILY PROTESTING, JUST LIKE DURING THE PREVIUOS PROTESTS. bUT YOUNG PEOPLE IN ALL COUNTRIES ARE IDEALISTIC, SO THEY ARE ALWAYS THE ONES WHO ARE THE FIRST TO PROTEST. tHE SAME THING IS HAPPENING HERE, ONLY IT GETS NO COVERAGE. iT COSTS THE AVERAGE VENEZUELAN $2 TO FILL UP THEIR CAR WITH GAS. hOW MUCH DOES IT COST TO FILL YOURS? CHAVEZ PUTS LIMITS ON FOODS AND GOODS IN VENEZUELA BECAUSE, JUST LIKE WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ECUADOR, THE OWNERS OF THESE MARKETS ARE ARTIFICIALLY RAISING THEIR PRICES SO THE PEOPLE WILL BLAME CHAVEZ, AND SAY THAT HE IS THE REASON PRICES ARE SO HIGH. EVEN THE PRESIDENT OF YOUR COUNTRY (WHICH I HAVE BEEN TO TWICE), URIBE, IS STARTING TO REALIZE THAT DISTANCING HIMSELF FROM WASHINGTON IS PROBABLY A GOOD THING.
AND ANOTHER THING, CHAVEZ "SHUT DOWN" RCTV BECAUSE THEY WERE THE BIGGEST PERPTRATORS BEHIND THE FAILED COUP OF 2002. SO, NOW, IF CNN TRIED TO OVERTHROW BUSH, THINK HE WOULD WAIT UNTIL THEIR LICENSE EXPIRED BEFORE RETALIATING? THEN WHY THE DOUBLE STANDARD, IF CHAVEZ ACTUALLY DID IT CORRECTLY, AND SIMPLY REFUSED TO RENEW THEIR LICENSE. BUT ALL OF THIS IS IRRELEVANT, SINCE RCTV STILL BROADCASTS VIA SATELITE AND THE INTERNET, SO THEY ARE NOT SHUT DOWN AND, BESIDES WHICH, THERE ARE STILL SEVERAL OTHER PRIVATE MEDIA STATIONS IN VENEZUELA.
NOW, PERHAPS YOU MIGHT WANT TO RECONSIDER WHERE YOU GET YOUR INFORMATION BEFORE YOU OPEN YOUR MOUTH AGAIN. THE CORPORATE MEDIA IS NOT THE WAY TO GO, FOR THEY ARE NOTHING MORE THAN PROFITEERS AFTER YOUR BUCK.

 
At 5:06 PM, Blogger Kate said...

Anonymous,

No need to get tetchy! Firstly, I never said I was an expert; I was stating facts. If stating facts is synonymous with being considered an expert, then we're all in a lot more trouble than we think. I'll preface this response with this: I will not comment on Ecuador, as I freely admit that I don't follow it terribly closely; my comments will be directed exclusively at yours which deal with Chavezuela, pardon me, Venezuela.

Where to begin? Well, since I feel like shaking things up a bit, let's start at the bottom of your comment and work our way up, shall we? Where do I get my information? That's a great question: I get it from: 1) corporate media; 2) blogs of people on the ground; 3) my buddies from all over Washington, whose political persuasions run all across the spectrum; 4) books; 5) magazine articles; 6) dailies from both inside and outside Venezuela, of all political persuasions; 7) and finally from my friends and family throughout Venezuela. With those seven distinct sources, I'd say I'm a bit more than one who merely reads information and regurgitates it out. As far as reconsidering from where I get my information...I am always happy to get more sources from myriad different perspective; I'll even listen to Hugo and his badulaque of a brother Adán if there were to talk with me. Whether or not I accept said information as being credible is completely different.

Moving right along... You mention RCTV, though I'm confused as to why you put "shut down" in quotation marks. RCTV was shut down; "failure to renew its license" is just a euphemism. On 11A, RCTV reported the news in realtime, and because it hurt Chávez's image, he flipped out. Following your logic of RCTV being the perpetrators behind the 2002 coup attempt, why wasn't Globovisión shut down? They incited the Venezuelan population just as much as RCTV... Could it be because they toned down their criticism against Chávez, while RCTV continued to report his shortcomings? Your second point regarding CNN: I can't give you an answer. There is no precedent of that sort of action. Your third point, which refers back to RCTV: how many people have constant access to the internet in Venezuela? And how many have access to the quite expensive satellite TV? In a population of around 26 million, a marginal amount, at best. Your last point regarding other private media stations: Yeah, you're right, they do exist. However, the culture of fear which has so deeply penetrated Venezuelan society has created of autocensura. This is coupled with the fact that Chávez openly threatened Globovisión immediately following the closure of RCTV. It was a calculated political move by Chávez, and in order to maintain a bit of free media in Venezuela, Globovisión took the bait and continued to tone down its criticism.

I am confused as to why you bring up Uribe's distancing from Washington in the first place, as it seems disconnected from the rest of your argument. Uribe's distancing himself from Washington is a consequence of the idiot Democrats in Congress --which boasts a stellar 11% approval rating, might I add-- who treated him like crap on his Spring visits. Uribe finds himself in a curious situation right now. Washington is treating him poorly, and Chávez seems to be the best hope for an effective humanitarian exchange with the FARC terrorists. To suggest that Uribe is moving closer to Chávez to spite Washington is quite headlong; if that were true, the Colombian government would have dropped the issue of pushing through the FTA.

Next, the limits on food and goods: Anonymous, are you suggesting that Chávez loathes market owners so much that he is willing to see his people go without staples such as milk and eggs? Do his actions "in the face of imperialism" justify depriving the Venezuelan people --his people-- from purchasing food? We all know that Chávez is an egomaniac, but really? This certainly would take the cake if it were true...

The socio-economic standing of university students: Once again, I will reiterate that some of the students are probably wealthy and privileged, but to make the asseveration that the rich are primarily the ones who send their kids to college denies the existence of a middle class almost all together! Come now, Anonymous: despite Chávez's efforts to completely polarize the political situation and do away sound economic policies (as he has done with the AN's approval of the modified versions of articles 318, 320, and 321) a middle class still does exist.

Lastly, Chávez's win on 3D was characterized by massive voter irregularities (as observed by many international observers, including many of my friends who were in Caracas for the election), voter intimidation on the part of the círculos bolivarianos in the street and at the polling centers, and Venezuelans abroad being denied the right to vote (this happened to my aunt and uncle). While it shows that 62% of Venezuelans who cast their vote are in favor of Chávez per the last election, I have serious doubts as to if this election was free and fair, despite what the Carter Center might say.

 
At 11:41 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Kate, what a performance. Brava mi amiga. Anonymous, read, ponder what kate said and maybe you will be at the beginnings of wisdom.

 
At 5:35 PM, Blogger Tanvir said...

I’m thankful that some Venezuelans are trying these protests. But it saddens me that they are met with violence. I hope the people of Venezuela stop being manipulated by Chávez. What’s sad is they probably don’t have a choice. These protests need to be greater in scale. I recently came across a website about Estonia’s Singing Revolution (http://singingrevolution.com) and it was inspiration to see a story about thousands of people coming together to fight for their freedom from Russia.

 
At 3:15 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi everyone. I'm an Ecuadorian who's been residing in NY for the last 18 years. I am not an expert on anything for everyday I have something new to learn and experience.
I was reading comments left by anonymous and Kate and I found it very interesting how the two of you talk about facts in regards to the changes going on in Venezuela (Ecuador, Colombia, USA).
I have done, said, heard, witnessed and experienced a lot of different events in my 36 years of living. One thing I have found out, it is my true/reality: We human beings tend to use facts that will support our beliefs/values and point of views and completely disregard any facts that contradicts them. Even if we use scientific evidence--which is also based on interpretations and personal perceptions; we pick and choose the ones that will make our point stronger. It will depend, of course, on what scientific evidence we use for they can also be misrepresented and tailor to our own needs--I studied statistics, for instance; and I know it can be manipulated to convey what we want to prove/state. I believe that both of you are right. Each one makes a point and uses your own live experiences, interpretations and beliefs to make your argument convincing and acceptable. I wonder if you have ever contemplated really "listening" to what the other has to say, put your guards down-- and find a middle ground? In the end I think it is NOT about being right BUT about learning and growing--after all, we all share the responsibilities of keeping harmony and equality among every human being and living things in the planet.
One question to Kate in regards to a comment you made:"... how many people have constant access to the internet in Venezuela? And how many have access to the quite expensive satellite TV? In a population of around 26 million, a marginal amount, at best."
Have you ever asked this question to yourself? Why do you think most of Venezuelans do not have access to the internet, cable, satellite? After answering this one, keep asking why...We should never stop asking WHY for the day we do; Shame on us!
--The Grosset Webster Dictionary--FACT: 1.That which is known to exist or to have existed or occurred; event; act.
2.That which is known to be true; reality.

 
At 3:17 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

 
At 9:59 AM, Blogger Kate said...

Mimi: I accidentally stumbled back on this post as I scrolled down too far in trying to access Fausta's blog, but I'll answer the question you posed.

I have often asked myself about the accessibility to media (internet, tv, etc.) in Venezuela. While being informed is extraordinarily important, at the end of the day, what will a person choose: Cable tv or feeding their child? I would say that the vast majority will choose the latter. It is my hope that one day the need to make this choice will be moot.

 

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