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Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Dr. Sowell ponders oil
Maria sent this article, An oil 'crisis'?,
Today production is being held back, not by price controls, but by political hysteria whenever anyone suggests actually producing more oil ourselves.
Part 2 ponders costs,
Prices are what pay for costs. The government can impose price controls on gasoline or petroleum tomorrow but that will not have the slightest effect on the cost of oil exploration or the cost of extracting and processing the oil that is found.

When the costs are no longer being fully covered by prices, production is likely to be cut back, whether it is the production of oil or anything else. This is not speculation. This is what has been happening for literally thousands of years, going back to price controls in ancient Rome and Babylon.

Yet price controls have always been popular politically, despite being counterproductive economically. After all, how many votes do economists have and how many voters know economics?

Some people love to believe that prices should be kept down to a "reasonable" level, something that everyone can "afford." Yet the notion of "reasonable" prices is itself unreasonable. The costs of producing oil don't depend on what we can afford or consider "reasonable." Nor does the cost of anything else.
Not that the politicians would pay attention to that . . .

1 Comments:

At 1:54 PM, Blogger Xpatriated Texan said...

Oil prices are not driven by either production or political hysteria, but by profit taking. The reason oil is so high right now is that people will buy it for that price. Who in their right mind is going to sell a commodity for half-price?

We sit immediately to the south of the second most oil-rich country in the world. Refining problems would be eased immensely by working in greater partnership with Alberta and by initiating a single federally mandated blend of gasoline throughout the country - but that means confronting both the environmentalists in California over MTBE and the farmers in Illinois over corn-based blends.

Converting airlines and agriculture to soy-based fuels would also ease both the refining bottleneck and the supply lines of traditional oil. Additionally, at current prices soy-based fuels can actually become cheaper than petroleum based fuels.

XT

 

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